Although, comparatively,
non-alcohol deaths dropped more than alcohol related deaths for
drivers, passengers and pedestrians, the difference was only
significant (P<.05) for passengers. In
2008, there was 208 fewer non alcohol passenger deaths than 2007, a
drop of 32%, the drop for alcohol related
passenger deaths was 15%.
Age groups under 21
demonstrated dramatic drops in non-alcohol crashes while there was
virtually no change in alcohol related deaths. Between 2007 and
2008 there were 65 fewer non-alcohol deaths for the 0- 15 age group, a
34%
decline. Because of small numbers, the significance of this
change
was only P<.10). For the 16-20 age group the number of
non-alcohol deaths dropped by 64 or a 22% drop (P< .05).
Notice for non-alcohol related deaths age 16-20 the difference between
2006 and 2008 is 121 or 34% drop and that there has been a consistent
drop for both groups from the high in 2003.
There was no significant
difference by gender when comparing 2007 and 2008 by alcohol use.
Given the pattern of on-alcohol related crashes for
passengers and the younger age groups, respectively, it is no surprise
that one observes a significant difference when these groups are
examined in
combination. For the passenger 0-15 year old age group there was
a drop of
an astounding 52% in one year, from 128 deaths in 2007 to 62 in
2008. For deaths in the non-alcohol related passenger deaths for
the age group 16 - 20, the drop what less but still impressive
42%. The pattern for passenger alcohol crashes displayed
virtually no change between 2007 and 2008 for either age group.
Hence, out of the total reduction of 566 deaths between 2007
and 2008,
116, or 29%, came from non-alcohol related passenger deaths for people
under 21. This is a dramatic change for such a sub-group and
difficult to hypothesize what the explanation might be. Overall,
there was a dramatic increase in gasoline princes between 2008 compared
to 2007 in California with a corresponding drop in the total Vehicle
Miles Traveled (VMT). Further the economy went down and
unemployment went up both of which might have also reduced
VMT. Given these changes one might expect the dramatic drop
in overall deaths on California highways, but one would expect the
change to be relatively the same for drivers, passengers and
pedestrians. (See
role graphs.).
In fact,
there was a reduction in the number of deaths between 2007 and 2008 for
all six combinations of the two alcohol use categories and drivers,
passengers, and pedestrians, respectively. (See Table of Numbers).
However
the
change
for
non-alcohol passengers between these two years was 33%, with
the next
largest reduction being in non-alcohol drivers that had a 18%
reduction, close to
the overall average of change. The non-alcohol passenger
reduction in deaths
still stands out, and most dramatically for non-alcohol deaths amongst
passengers under 21.
One might also of expected for the decrease in alcohol related deaths
to be the same or greater for non-alcohol related deaths for these age
groups. There has been a prolonged push to discourage young
people from riding with drivers under the influence, but this data
shows no indication of an effect from these efforts. One might
also think that whatever is the explanation for fewer deaths among
young passengers to be the same for both non-alcohol and alcohol
related deaths. That is there is a reduction in young passengers
for some reason and this effect is a cross the board.
Similarly if there was a pattern in the change of seat belt use by
young passengers one might expect to see the effect across alcohol
related and non-alcohol related deaths, although there is reason to
consider the possibility that passengers are less likely to use safe
belts when they are under the influence, or less likely to use a safety
belt when the driver is under the influence.
Why the reduction of passengers deaths for non-alcohol related
collisions, particularly among young adults, remains a
mystery. Comments
welcome: mailto:cacrash@cacrash.org!
*Alcohol involvement is determined by the police. They may
use a blood test, breathalyzer, road side sobriety check (eg. can the
individual walk straight and stand one one foot), smell or only
observation. Generally fatality crashes are comparatively well
investigated and documented.